Summary
Background
Aim
Methods
Findings
Conclusion
Keywords
Introduction
CDC. Prevention strategies for seasonal influenza in healthcare settings. Available at: https://www.cdc.gov/flu/professionals/infectioncontrol/healthcaresettings.htm 2018.
Methods
Information used for the model
Infection | Rate of HAI per 100,000 occupied bed-days | Extra length of stay due to an HAI |
---|---|---|
All HAI | 250 (7.58) | 7.80 (1.10) |
Bloodstream | 45 (3.19) | 11.40 (2.80) |
Gastrointestinal | 39 (3.01) | 6.00 (3.40) |
Lower respiratory | 42 (3.11) | 7.30 (2.80) |
Pneumonia | 24 (2.32) | 16.30 (4.50) |
Surgical site | 35 (2.86) | 9.80 (2.70) |
Urinary tract | 51 (3.42) | 0.00 (0.00) |
Other | 14 (1.76) | 14.00 (9.10) |
Infection | Discharged | Died | RR (95% CI) |
---|---|---|---|
Bloodstream | 97 | 44 | 7.84 (5.50–11.16) |
Gastrointestinal | 98 | 24 | 4.94 (3.17–7.71) |
Lower respiratory | 115 | 30 | 5.20 (3.48–7.75) |
Pneumonia | 52 | 19 | 6.72 (3.98–11.35) |
Surgical site | 108 | 12 | 2.51 (1.39–4.55) |
Urinary tract | 154 | 16 | 2.36 (1.39–4.55) |
Other | 25 | 4 | 3.46 (1.21–9.95) |
The potential for a temporary isolation room to reduce HAI rates
CDC. Prevention strategies for seasonal influenza in healthcare settings. Available at: https://www.cdc.gov/flu/professionals/infectioncontrol/healthcaresettings.htm 2018.
Uncertainty and model evaluation
Variable | Estimate | Prior distribution | Source |
---|---|---|---|
Cases of HAI baseline/100,000 OBD | |||
Bloodstream | 45 | Normal (45, 3.19) | [ [22] ] |
Gastrointestinal | 39 | Normal (39, 3.10) | |
Lower respiratory | 42 | Normal (42, 3.11) | |
Pneumonia | 24 | Normal (24, 2.32) | |
Surgical site | 35 | Normal (35, 2.86) | |
Urinary tract | 51 | Normal (51, 3.42) | |
Other | 14 | Normal (14, 1.76) | |
Excess LOS (days), mean (SD) | |||
Bloodstream | 11.4 (2.8) | Gamma (16.58, 0.69) | [ [23] ] |
Gastrointestinal | 6 (3.4) | Gamma (3.11, 1.93) | |
Lower respiratory | 7.3 (2.8) | Gamma (6.80, 1.07) | |
Pneumonia | 16.3 (4.5) | Gamma (13.12, 1.24) | |
Surgical site | 9.8 (2.7) | Gamma (13.17, 0.74) | |
Urinary tract | 0 | ||
Other | 14 (9.1) | Gamma (2.36, 5.91) | |
Log10 of relative risk of death | |||
Bloodstream infection | 7.84 | Normal (2.06, 0.18) | [ [23] ] |
Gastrointestinal infection | 4.94 | Normal (1.6, 0.23) | |
Lower respiratory tract infection | 5.20 | Normal (1.65, 0.2) | |
Pneumonia | 6.72 | Normal (1.91, 0.27) | |
Surgical site infection | 2.51 | Normal (0.92, 0.3) | |
Urinary tract infection | 2.36 | Normal (0.86, 0.26) | |
Other | 3.46 | Normal (1.24, 0.54) | |
Other parameters | |||
Cost per bed-days (mean, SD) | 799 (536) | Gamma (2.23, 358.92) | [ [27] ] |
Mean age of patients (years) | 66 | Fixed | |
Life expectancy | Fixed | [ [26] ] | |
Males | 85 | ||
Females | 87 | ||
Effectiveness (mean, SD) | 30%, 5% | Beta (24.9, 58.1) | |
% admissions isolated (range) | 3%, 30% | Uniform (0.03–0.3) |
Scenario analyses
Results

Infection | HAI cases avoided | Bed-days saved | Monetary value of bed-days | No. of deaths avoided | Life-years gained |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
All HAI | 75 (13) | 584 (348) | £486,280 (£1,297,281) | 11.69 (2.38) | 184 (38) |
Bloodstream | 13 (2) | 153 (154) | £116,846 (£362,786) | 3.71 (1.02) | 58 (16) |
Gastrointestinal | 12 (2) | 69 (167) | £53,374 (£216,757) | 1.87 (0.65) | 29 (10) |
Lower respiratory | 13 (2) | 94 (147) | £76,992 (£252,753) | 2.17 (0.68) | 34 (11) |
Pneumonia | 7 (1) | 117 (135) | £93,228 (£292,225) | 1.71 (0.64) | 27 (10) |
Surgical site | 10 (2) | 100 (117) | £81,353 (£255,890) | 0.68 (0.36) | 11 (6) |
Urinary tract | 15 (3) | 0 (0) | £0,000 (£0,000) | 0.88 (0.43) | 14 (7) |
Other | 4 (1) | 60 (161) | £48,514 (£200,742) | 0.68 (0.43) | 11 (7) |

Discussion
- McDonald L.C.
- Gerding D.N.
- Johnson S.
- Bakken J.S.
- Carroll K.C.
- Coffin S.E.
- et al.
Acknowledgements
Conflict of interest statement
Funding sources
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